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Historically Rare

Historically Rare Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ended his remarks at the 60th Annual Meeting of the National Association for Business Economics on October 2, 2018, with this statement. “This historically rare pairing of steady, low inflation and very low unemployment is testament to the fact that we remain in extraordinary times. Our ongoing policy […]

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Bye, Buy Bonds?

Bye, Buy Bonds? Rumor has it that the long bull bond market is over.  The Federal Reserve projects that it will continue to raise interest rates.  The nation is essentially fully employed.  Inflation is creeping op over 2%.  The stock market has been hot, even though it has taken a much-needed break recently.  As interest

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Swimming Naked

Swimming Naked Warren Buffet famously wrote in his 2001 Chairman’s letter to the Berkshire Hathaway investors that “you only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out.”  This was right after many investors had gotten greedy and put too much of their portfolio into high flying growth stocks in the late 1990s,

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The Inflation Debation

The Inflation Debation Ok, ‘debation’ is not a real word. It is our attempt to combine ‘debate’ with ‘speculation’. It also rhymes with inflation, and brings into focus the current debate and speculation on inflation. If the internet were to get hold of this word, we would become sick of it very quickly. The Fed’s

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